Phuket: The Non-Hunting Area
A Phuket Non-Hunting Area the entrance
Not as it used to be but closer than some!
A Phuket Non-Hunting Area the entrance
Not as it used to be but closer than some!
The Berlin .. Kongo er .. Oxford .. Conference of 2012
The Ituri forest in the NE Congo basin October 2011 - a red river - in spate, yet the adjacent forest is '+/- untouched' The African continent contains some 30% of the world’s tropical rainforest, so it is second only to the Amazon. "Scientists and conservationists" gathered in England at Oxford University to discuss what changes these African forests are likely to experience in the next hundred years. Africa’s tropical forests are facing ever increasing threats. Indigenous destruction e.g. that resulting from traditional slash-and-burn deforestation to feed the rapidly expanded families to be seen in nearly all the "host nations" or the commercialisation of bush-meat hunting as disposable incomes increase with "Chinese cash and well-intended international development assistance". And internationally-driven ones, such as commercial logging for export and ravenous mineral extraction (especially open-cast mining - now termed "the mooning of Africa") largely to supply the production economies of the Far East. Add to this the hazards from above; atmospheric ones generated by an increasingly unavoidable climate chaos. Devils unknown, unleashed by industrialised nations, "richer people" and far away.
Climate change will be a formidable challenge for much of the "developed world". For the essentially leaderless societies of much of sub-Saharan Africa it may be overwhelming. Consequently there’s supposedly "much interest and concern" about Africa’s forests. After all this is the second largest area of tropical forest in the world, after the Amazon forest, so there should be "some concern" about planning, for its retirement, if not its future. "And yet there’s been very little synthesis of the research that’s there." There’s much less known about both climate and forest and people and there interaction in Africa compared to many other regions of the world,” said Yadvinder Malhi, a professor of ecosystems science at Oxford University and director of the Oxford Centre for Tropical Forests. Malhi said the January 2012 conference brought together experts in climate change, ecology, social sciences, economics, anthropology and archeology. They assembled to discuss Africa’s rainforest(s). Incidentally one wonders how many africans were there in Oxford last week. The Congo forests in particular, are increasingly important "at a global level for a host of reasons. They store a huge amount of carbon. By absorbing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, the trees of these great forests are significantly reducing the rate of climate change.
In the terms of the whole of Africa and its highly vulnerable water resources, the ecosystem communities of the Congo forests recycle water and deliver it both across the old continent and elsewhere. So truly they are vital. Water that falls in the Congo region gets taken up by the roots of trees. It is transpired up into the atmosphere, pumping-out the extensive cloudscapes of the ITCZ, moisture which descends to earth as the seasonal rains, maintaining life right across Africa. Even to her farthest corners. In fact these clouds, especially those made by the forests of the Congo basin have very long range effects determining weather patterns and water supply in parts of Asia and even into North America. There’s a massive difference between the forests of the Congo and those of Upper Guinea in West Africa. There’s been extensive deforestation in West Africa. Much of the primary forest has been felled and burned for subsistence agriculture during the past 30 years. In the Congo Basin there's a very different situation. "That’s an area that is at the moment almost all intact forest and has had relatively low rates of deforestation. And the reasons why those rates have been low are varied from country to country. But in the largest area, the Democratic Republic, it’s been political instability and poor infrastructure linked to that instability that has meant that this large forest reserve has not currently really faced very heavy pressure, at least compared to forests of Asia or the Amazon,” Malhi said. However, he said that could change with new investment and infrastructure and expansion of industrial scale plantations. About 3,000 years ago, the Congo forests were affected by natural climate drying. Forests retreated and were replaced by grasslands. “At the same time, around two and a half thousand years ago, Iron Age humans settled in much of the forest, cleared it with axes, with iron axes. And then they had a population collapse around a thousand years ago and the forest regrew. And this is quite a different history from the history we see in the Amazon rainforest". In the Amazon there’s been continuous forest cover during human history and earlier. "And also where there was human impact it was not with iron instruments. There was no Iron Age in the Amazon,” Malhi said. The combination of natural climate drying and widespread human deforestation left fewer species of trees compared to the tropical forests of South America and South-east Asia. However, that’s not necessarily a bad thing (for our future). “The species that are left seem to be relatively resilient to a large extent. They can recolonize disturbed areas quite quickly. They can spread quite quickly, regrow quite quickly. So if one area gets deforested, you can still find the species elsewhere,” he said. Similarly these days tropical forest are cleared for "agriculture". Felled by the demands of a globalised agribusiness. Increasingly something the world really needs is being destroyed to provide land where we can produce tropical crops to satisfy the super markets of the "poleward global-consumer", someone who expects to get "fresh fruit and veg" in every season.
New road gnawing into the {untouched} forests of northern DRC October 2010 The U.N. suggests that by 2050 the world population will have risen to nine billion. Even without our obsessive consumptionism the global demand for food will go astronomic. But Malhi the Oxford professor hopes that there are ways of satisfying that demand which will not require widespread deforestation (how much more can we take?). As one would expect the chief mechanism for this is to make existing agricultural land "much more productive". Another "Green Revolution" then? “Much of agriculture in Africa is of very low productivity. Very low inputs of fertilizers and nutrients. You could have the current agricultural output of the Africa tropical forest region in 40 percent of its current agricultural land, leaving 60 percent of the land available for forests if the agriculture was intensified. So, it’s not a simple tradeoff between more food means more land and therefore less forests,” he said. The information from the conference will be "analysed, recommendations will be made to governments, U.N. agencies and others." These are expected to include: proposals for protecting remaining rainforests (watch this - currently rather empty - space) better land management for agriculture and of course new research ... into the effects of climate change." The Oxford conference ran from January 4-6 2012 New logging roads and an active camp (quality wood to make stuff for that fancy house and garden) in upper Congo Brazzaville - October 2010
from Wikipedia: "The Berlin Conference (German: Kongokonferenz or "Congo Conference") of 1884–85 regulated European colonization and trade in Africa during the New Imperialism period, and coincided with Germany's sudden emergence as an imperial power. Called for by Portugal and organized by Otto von Bismarck, first Chancellor of Germany, its outcome, the General Act of the Berlin Conference, can be seen as the formalisation of the Scramble for Africa. The conference ushered in a period of heightened colonial activity by European powers, while simultaneously eliminating most existing forms of African autonomy and self-governance."
European claims in Africa, 1913 Belgium Germany Spain France
Great Britain Italy Portugal Independent
"The planet is going through incredible change," said Jonathan Foley, director of the University of Minnesota's Institute of the Environment.
"Through rapid (barely thought through) uses of the environment, we are pushing our planet in extreme ways."
By Douglas Fischer
Daily Climate editor
"In San Francisco nearly 36,000 people gathered in ( the second ) week of December in two groups on opposite ends of the Earth to discuss the same thing:
Our planet and our future. But their responses are starkly divergent.
One group – scientists at the American Geophysical Union meeting drilling ever deeper into the evidence – said, in broad terms, 'Change is worse than we thought.'
The other group – delegates at the United Nations climate talks – countered, 'Mañana.'
I've been to both meetings, which happen annually in the fall. And I'll confess that I most enjoy the excitement infusing the onset of both gatherings: Two polyglot affairs, the atmosphere charged with creative energy. At AGU, it's a sense of discovery. At the UN talks, it's a potential to shape the globe's future.
Different values color each meeting. The AGU meeting now draws 20,000 scientists annually to parse the data, looking for science's cutting edge. The UN talks gather 16,000 delegates and others to hash and rehash negotiating texts, trying to find common ground.
Both science and diplomacy are hard, intense endeavors. The limits of human knowledge do not yield easily. By the end of both meetings, the freshness in those cavernous halls grows stale; exhaustion fills the air.
But for all this work, these herculean efforts remain antipodal. Scientific findings barely grasped by the politicians are old news at AGU. And negotiating blocks that halt diplomats remain unfathomable to the scientists.
.... disconnect hit me last week at AGU ( annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union ), midway through a talk on rapid transformation – in this case, of Alaska's boreal forest. "Death is a good marker of rapid change," said Andrea Lloyd, a biology professor at Middlebury College.
And Lloyd has seen death.
As the Northern Hemisphere grows drier and hotter, researchers knew the forests would struggle. The surprise, Lloyd said, was finding such a sudden shift in the tree line: Across the north country, trees are dying back and being replaced with drought-tolerant grasslands in response to fairly minor changes in moisture. "There's this potential for small amounts of ... warming to produce large changes," she said. "As we move forward into novel climate regimes – things we haven't seen before – trees might surprise us."
Lloyd's observations are not unique. The discoveries revealed last week at AGU suggest physical change is happening faster than scientists' hypotheses and models predicted.
"The planet is going through incredible change," said Jonathan Foley, director of the University of Minnesota's Institute on the Environment. "Through rapid uses of the environment, we are pushing our planet in extreme ways."
The news from Durban makes clear, meanwhile, that political hurdles are only slowly eroding. Politics and science are still operating in different realms.
Case in point: The Durban talks concluded this year with participants touting as an "important milestone" the commitment to keep talking. The Kyoto Protocol, a questionably effective treaty requiring emissions cuts from much of the developed world (but not the United States and, soon, Canada), will be extended five years while those talks continue. Kyoto's replacement, delegates agreed over the weekend, should be in place by 2020.
"We shouldn't kid ourselves that action is happening," said Lance Pierce, executive director of CERES, a nonprofit coalition of investors and environmentalists working with companies on climate change.
DailyClimate.org is a foundation-funded news service that covers climate change.
Contact editor Douglas Fischer at dfischer [at] DailyClimate.org
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